Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Forecast Discussion Number 31
ActuCyclone
7 novembre 2021
000 WTNT41 KNHC 071447 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Discussion Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212021 300 PM GMT Sun Nov 07 2021 Wanda is no longer generating deep convection in association with its low-level circulation. In fact, most of the colder cloud tops seen on satellite over the center right now are actually upper-level cirrus associated with a cold frontal boundary part of a larger mid-latitude cyclone southeast of Greenland. In addition, an 1156 UTC ASCAT-B pass over Wanda's circulation shows that the north side is beginning to open up into a trough as the cold front is encroaching on the system. These above factors suggest that Wanda is no longer a tropical cyclone, and the system is now classified as a post-tropical low as of this advisory. The winds remain 35-kt based on the peak wind retrieval of 33-kt from the scatterometer data on the southeast side of the circulation. The system has been accelerating to the northeast with the latest estimated motion at 045/22 kt. The post-tropical cyclone should continue to accelerate to the northeast until it merges with the baroclinic zone approaching it. A 12 hour point is provided for continuity and to indicate the transition to an extratropical cyclone, though its quite possible the system will be fully absorbed by the frontal boundary by then. The track guidance at 12 hours is tightly clustered, and the NHC track forecast at that time fame follows the consensus aids closely. This is the last NHC advisory on Wanda. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/1500Z 40.2N 33.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 08/0000Z 43.5N 29.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin