Potential Tropical Cyclone Six Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
ActuCyclone
9 août 2021000 FONT11 KNHC 092058 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 2100 UTC MON AUG 09 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 22(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) AGUADILLA PR 34 X 1( 1) 36(37) 7(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) VIEQUES PR 34 X 7( 7) 29(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 7( 7) 16(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAINT CROIX 34 X 22(22) 17(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) SAINT CROIX 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SABA 34 X 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ST EUSTATIUS 34 1 15(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) BARBUDA 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GUADELOUPE 34 9 13(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) AVES 34 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) DOMINICA 34 14 6(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) MARTINIQUE 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PAPIN
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